Tropical Weather Outlook: Potential Development Near Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas

The NOAA reports that a well-defined tropical wave is currently causing scattered showers and thunderstorms across eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, the southeastern Bahamas, and Jamaica, along with adjacent waters. The system is expected to continue moving over Cuba today and enter the Straits of Florida by tonight or Saturday.

Environmental conditions are predicted to be favourable for further development, with a tropical depression likely forming this weekend over the Straits of Florida or eastern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical storm watches or warnings may be issued for parts of Florida later today.

Residents in Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas are advised to monitor updates closely. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is anticipated, which could lead to flash flooding in these areas.

Formation chance through 48 hours: 60 percent

Formation chance through 7 days: 90 percent