Several Models Support Current Project Path of Hurricane Beryl

According to Chief Meteorologist Ronald Gordon, at least five models are in line with the current projections. This does not mean that the northern parts of Belize will not be impacted if the system makes land fall in Mexico.

 

Ronald Gordon, Chief Meteorologist, NMS

“In terms of consistency we have seen that at least the last five models run from about three p.m. one that came out yesterday afternoon is showing this system will take this projected path and head towards Tulum on the Yucatan Peninsula. So I do reiterate that there is still a cone and a part of that cone still covers the extreme part of northern Belize, but it is a probability distribution and the highest probable path or the most likely probable path is at the center of that cone. We are confident enough in the forecast that we made the declaration at this point that we made the declaration. We have been communicating with the National Hurricane Center in Miami, the hurricane experts. We have shared what we are seeing and based on our mutual discussion we believe the system will make landfall north of the country. We know the system is not a point where I have always emphasized to media houses please don’t force me to say exactly where it will cross the shoreline there are impacts beyond that point. Therefore even if it makes landfall where it is projected to, we do know that the hurricane force winds and tropical storm force winds extend from that center. Based on that information we certainly communicate with Mr. Mendez and with the Prime Minister and we were allowed, approved to declare a tropical storm watch for the country.”