Low Chances for Tropical Weather Development

The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) reported this morning that two Caribbean weather systems have low chances of developing into tropical storms.

In the western Caribbean, a low-pressure area is causing showers and thunderstorms. The NHC noted, “Some gradual development is possible over the next couple of days” before it moves inland over Central America, bringing locally heavy rainfall to parts of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend. The National Meteorological Service of Belize added that this system has a low chance of development in the next 48 hours.

Additionally, a trough of low pressure east of the Leeward Islands is moving westward. Forecasters expect it to approach the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Friday, then Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. However, “strong upper-level winds should end the chances of development by late in the weekend,” with formation chances at 20% in the next 48 hours and 30% over the week.