Weather - Channel 5 Belize

Should You Work as TS Nadine Approaches?

Tropical Nadine is expected to make landfall in a few hours. As of 9 a.m., Nadine was located 25 miles southeast of Belize City, moving west at 8 mph with sustained winds of 50 mph.

The National Meteorological Service (NMS) and the National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO) held a press conference this morning. During the Q&A, officials were asked for their advice to persons who will be working today.

NEMO’s National Emergency Coordinator, Daniel Mendez said their messaging has been clear and consistent regarding the seriousness of the approaching storm. He strongly recommended that businesses close, stressing that it is unwise to assume the storm is small or harmless. “We don’t know what the full impact will be, but we are aware of the potential for flooding,” he noted.

Mendez urged people to take the situation seriously, especially since the system is expected to pass within the next few hours. He explained that teams would be moving through all districts to ensure that residents are informed and advised of the storm’s imminent arrival. “It’s crucial that we act now. We cannot have people engaging in regular activities while we are preparing for the storm’s impact,” Mendez added.

“We cannot, we cannot have people out there doing those activities while we are preparing for the potential of the imminent arrival of the storm in the next few hours.”

When asked for advice for those persons who are being forced to work, Mendez stressed the importance of taking all weather systems seriously, stating that it is unwise to dismiss any storm as a small event that will quickly pass. He acknowledged that the impacts from Tropical Storm Nadine could include not only rainfall but also secondary flooding effects.

Mendez advised families and business owners to be vigilant and prepared, stressing that the situation warrants serious attention. He noted the necessity for businesses to adhere to safety recommendations, although he refrained from specifying mandatory actions at this time.

Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory No. 6

Tropical storm conditions from Nadine continue to impact coastal parts of the Corozal, Belize, and Stann Creek Districts. The National Meteorological Service recorded a wind gust of 43 mph at Half Moon Caye. A Tropical Storm warning remains in effect from Belize City northward to the Mexico border. As of 9:00 a.m., Nadine was located about 25 miles southeast of Belize City, moving westward at 8 mph with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. The storm is expected to make landfall along the Belizean coast in a few hours, though significant strengthening is not anticipated before landfall.

The primary threat from Nadine remains heavy rainfall, with 1 to 2 inches already recorded. An additional 4 to 6 inches is expected, particularly over northern and central Belize, which could lead to flooding. Strong gusty winds are creating rough sea conditions, and mariners are advised to remain in safe harbor until further notice. Some coastal flooding is expected near or just north of the storm’s landfall area, and gusty winds north of the center may cause minor damage to weak structures. Areas south of Belize City could also experience Tropical Storm conditions, and residents are urged to stay alert.

A Tropical Storm Warning indicates that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within the next six hours. Residents should take immediate action to protect life and property.

Expected Hazards in Belize:
– Rainfall: An additional 4 to 6 inches of rain, particularly in northern and central Belize, could result in localized flooding.
– High Winds: Winds of 50 mph, with higher gusts, may cause damage to structures, crops, and trees.
– Storm Surge: A minor storm surge, generally less than 1 foot, is possible just north of the storm’s landfall area.

The National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) urges residents in the Corozal, Belize, Orange Walk, and Cayo Districts to finalize preparations as Tropical Storm Nadine approaches. Flooding and high winds are expected. Residents in other districts should stay on high alert.

– Businesses in the Corozal, Orange Walk, and Belize Districts (including San Pedro and Caye Caulker) should consider closing for the day to ensure the safety of employees.
– Essential services will remain open in the Belize, Corozal, and Orange Walk Districts, as well as in San Pedro and Caye Caulker.
– Families and businesses should implement their emergency plans and check food, water, and medical supplies. Ensure the safety of the elderly, people with disabilities, and pets.
– NEMO recommends sheltering in place, given the limited time before landfall. Find a safe location to take shelter.
– Shelters will be opened in the Belize and Cayo Districts and San Pedro Town. Listen for NEMO updates in your district for further details.

Residents are advised to follow updates from NEMO and the National Meteorological Service. The National Emergency Operations Centre is fully activated, and all district emergency operations centers remain on high alert. NEMO’s hotline is 936.

NEMO reminds the public to take all hydrometeorological hazards seriously and work together to ensure community safety and preparedness.

Nadine Expected to Make Landfall Soon

The National Meteorological Service of Belize (NMS) and the National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO) held a press conference to provide the latest information regarding Tropical Storm Nadine.

Tropical Storm Nadine is spreading over coastal parts of Corozal, Belize, and Stann Creek Districts, with a warning in effect from Belize City northward to the Mexican border. As of 6 AM, Nadine was located 60 miles east of Belize City, moving west at 9 mph with winds of 45 mph. The storm is expected to make landfall between 9 AM and midday, with further strengthening possible. The main threat is heavy rainfall, with 4 to 6 additional inches expected, leading to possible flooding. Rough seas and strong winds could cause coastal flooding and minor damage. Residents, especially south of Belize City, should remain vigilant.

Since the storm was classified and named Nadine, bands of showers and thunderstorms have intensified, becoming more frequent across the country. Constant rain, with embedded thunderstorms, is now affecting much of the country.

According to Chief Met. Ronald Gordon, in terms of rainfall, 1 to 2 inches have already been recorded, with expectations of an additional 4 to 6 inches as Nadine progresses. He noted that, due to the storm’s broad circulation, focusing on a precise landfall location is not relevant, as the centre is not well defined. Tropical storm force winds, which extend up to 295 miles north of the centre, are affecting areas as far as Cancun. Winds in Belize have so far reached gusts of up to 20 knots, but stronger gusts are expected as the storm moves further onshore, potentially reaching 45 miles per hour.

Gordon says that areas such as Belize City, Caye Caulker, San Pedro, and Corozal are most likely to experience tropical storm-force winds. The core of the storm is expected to move across Belize by midday, rapidly weakening as it moves inland, and potentially dissipating by tomorrow over southern Mexico. Rainfall will persist as the storm moves west but will gradually decrease by tomorrow and into Monday.

He also mentioned the potential for minor coastal flooding, particularly north of the storm’s centre, with water levels rising by about one foot or less. While a significant storm surge is not expected, rainfall could result in localised flooding.

Gordon explained that the winds associated with Tropical Storm Nadine are more spread out, with the stronger winds located farther from the center. He described the system as broad and disorganised, unlike more compact storms where strong winds are concentrated near the center. While Belize has not yet experienced sustained tropical storm-force winds, Gordon said that gusty winds are still expected as the storm approaches.

Gordon said, “I would say that we have had deterioration since last night based on the weather conditions, the rain, and so forth. But certainly, it will get worse. As the morning progresses, I won’t give a specific time. We expect landfall in time between 9 o’clock and midday. So we can look at that window to say that those would be the most severe time or within that time period. We would expect the more severe weather conditions from the system.”

Flood Forecast: Coastal and Inland Areas Bracing for Rising Waters

As of Saturday, October 19, 2024, at 8:05 AM, elevated river levels are expected along coastal areas in the southern parts of the country, and residents are being urged to monitor waterways closely and exercise caution.

In Region 7, the Rio Hondo at Blue Creek North remains at flood stage, with increasing levels forecast for Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, Douglas, and areas downstream to the coast. The New River at Hill Bank and Tower Hill is also expected to see rising levels, with elevated conditions at Caledonia.

In Region 9, bank full-stage levels are anticipated on the Mopan River at Benque Viejo Town. The Macal River will remain below spillway levels at all Fortis reservoirs, but water levels in San Ignacio are expected to surpass the low-level bridge. Meanwhile, above-normal levels are projected for the Belize River at Double Run, though the Crooked Tree Lagoon will stay below the causeway.

Region 11 is also on high alert as increasing levels are forecast on the Sibun River at Freetown Sibun and the Southern Lagoon at Gales Point Village. The eastern slopes of the Mayan Mountains and the Sittee River at Kendal Bridge will experience above-normal levels, while normal conditions persist at the Swasey and Bladen branches of the Monkey River, Deep River, Rio Grande, Moho River, and the Temash River.

The Ministry of Natural Resources has also advised that the Coastal Road from La Democracia to the Hope Creek junction may be impassable due to excessive rainfall. A flood alert is in effect for the San Ignacio low-level bridge and the Iguana Creek Bridge, which may become impassable due to riverine flooding. Additionally, flood warnings are in place for the Sittee River and its surrounding areas, as well as urbanised low-lying areas in central and northern Belize.

Residents across affected regions are urged to remain vigilant and prepared as flooding is possible. Normal levels are currently expected on the Sarstoon River in Region 13.

Tropical Storm Nadine Approaching Belize – Storm Warning in Effect

Tropical storm conditions from Nadine are now impacting coastal parts of Corozal, Belize, and Stann Creek Districts. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in place from Belize City northward to the Mexico border.

At 6:00 AM, Tropical Storm Nadine was located near latitude 17.3N, longitude 87.3W, about 60 miles east of Belize City. Nadine is moving west at 9 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph, and may strengthen further before making landfall along the Belize coast between 9:00 AM and noon today.

Key Hazards and Impacts:

– Heavy Rainfall: An additional 4-6 inches of rain is expected, especially in northern and central Belize, increasing the risk of localized flooding.
– High Winds: Winds of 45 mph with higher gusts are expected, potentially causing minor damage to weak structures, trees, and crops.
– Storm Surge: A minor surge of less than 1 foot is expected near and just north of where the system makes landfall.

Residents of Corozal, Orange Walk, Belize, and Cayo Districts should prepare for potential flooding and high winds. Businesses in these areas, including San Pedro and Caye Caulker, are advised to remain closed today for safety. Essential services will remain operational in the affected districts.

Sheltering in Place is recommended due to the short time frame before landfall. However, shelters will open in the Belize and Cayo Districts, as well as San Pedro Town, with more shelters available if needed.

Immediate Actions:
– Activate family and business emergency plans.
– Check your emergency supplies, including food, water, and medical necessities.
– Assist the elderly, people with disabilities, and ensure pet safety.
– Mariners should remain in safe harbor until further notice.

Follow official updates from NEMO and the Met Service. The National Emergency Operations Centre is active, and all District Emergency Operations Centers are on alert. For assistance, contact NEMO’s hotline at 936.

Let’s continue working together to keep our communities safe and prepared!

Tropical Storm Watch Declared for Parts of Belize

A tropical storm watch has been declared for the Belize, Corozal, and Orange Walk districts. As of three o’clock this afternoon, Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 is heading directly to central Belize. With maximum winds of thirty-five miles per hour, the system may strengthen into a tropical storm with winds up to fifty miles per hour before it makes landfall on Saturday. The biggest concern is the expected downpour—up to eight inches of rain could hit northern and central Belize, bringing a high risk of flooding. Strong gusts will whip up rough seas, so mariners are urged to seek safe harbour immediately. Coastal flooding is also possible in areas north of the storm’s path. Residents from Dangriga to Belize City are advised to stay on high alert, as the storm watch could be extended southward. According to Chief Meteorologist Ronald Gordon, this system has become more organised, with a seventy percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm.

Ronald Gordon, Chief Meteorologist, NMS

“We have been closely monitoring the potential for development over the Southwestern Caribbean Sea from the early parts of this week. And throughout to this morning, the system has become better organised and currently has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression or a tropical storm before reaching Belize or the Yucatán Peninsula of Mexico tomorrow morning. Currently, the chances are 70 percent of it becoming a tropical storm or depression. Regardless of whether the system becomes a tropical storm or depression, The main threat from the system for the country of Belize is going to be heavy rainfall, and that activity has already started, which we are seeing older bands of showers and thunderstorms moving across the country from the system. Those are expected to continue throughout the evening and tonight and intensify into tomorrow morning. Rainfall estimates at the moment are for about 4 to 8 inches, the higher end, and based on the current trajectory, the highest and most of the rainfall will be in the extreme north of the country.”

NEMO Alerts North Districts on Potential Flooding

NEMO is urging everyone, especially those in flood-prone areas, to have emergency plans and supplies ready. The organization has put district offices on alert and is coordinating with vulnerable communities to prepare for the potential flooding. As of now, schools and airstrips will remain operating as normal. They remind everyone that it’s still in the peak of hurricane season, so it’s crucial to stay informed by following official alerts only. We spoke to NEMO’s National Emergency Coordinator, Daniel Mendez, on this.

Daniel Mendez, National Emergency Coordinator, NEMO

“The EOC’s in all our districts are planning meetings with their members in preparation for for the potential flood and wind risk. So we have also been reaching out to all the vulnerable communities in the north. This has actually begun. We have been speaking to the communities and the leadership of the communities, informing them of the potential rain and wind. We have started to work with them to ensure that these preparations are in place. So all of our districts are actually meeting now between now and 3 PM. At the national level, we will be conducting a planning meeting with all of the national liaison officers here at the NEMO headquarters in preparation for any activation of all the preparation. We have stops in place in all the district offices, and our personnel will be on standby over the weekend. I really want to stress to the public that if you are in one of these vulnerable locations, if you are in a village that is at risk for flooding, please keep on monitoring and please be prepared to have to implement your action plan. If this should occur. We also are recommending to all residents that we need to start looking at clearing of drains and doing everything we can to minimise any potential flooding to your property.”

We’ll be tracking the weather of the weekend, and you can find updates on our channel5belize.com website and social media pages. NEMO’s hotline is 936

NHC Continues to Monitor Potential Tropical Development

The Caribbean continues to be on alert as a broad area of low pressure in the southwestern region could bring heavy rainfall and possible tropical development this week. Forecasters say it has a “20 percent” chance of formation within the next 48 hours. The National Hurricane Centre stated that there is potential for “gradual development” if the system remains over water while moving “slowly northwestward toward Central America. ” Regardless of development, “locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of Central America and southern Mexico later this week and into the weekend,” the NHC added.

Near the Leeward Islands, the NHC reports that the circulation of another disturbance, AL94, has become “less defined since yesterday.” The system is expected to move generally westward, with environmental conditions deemed “marginally conducive for gradual development” later this week. The formation chance is currently at 30 percent for the next 48 hours.

NMS and NEMO Monitors System in Southwest Caribbean Sea

The National Meteorological Service and the National Emergency Management Organization are keeping an eye on the southwest Caribbean Sea for any signs of a tropical cyclone. In a joint press release, they mentioned that while the chances of formation are currently low—near zero percent over the next forty-eight hours and thirty percent within the next week—the situation could still change. In the worst-case scenario, a tropical depression or storm might form by Thursday or Friday, moving over northern Nicaragua or Honduras and weakening before its remnants pass over Belize late Friday into Saturday. This system could bring moderate to heavy rainfall. The NMS and NEMO emphasize that there’s no need to panic. They remind everyone that we’re still in the peak of hurricane season, so it’s crucial to stay informed by following official alerts and not getting swayed by rumors or misinformation from unofficial sources.

Keeping a Close Eye on Potential Tropical Cyclone in Caribbean

The National Meteorological Service of Belize (NMSB) and the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) are actively monitoring the Southwest Caribbean Sea, where models indicate a potential for tropical cyclone development later this week. Currently, the chances of formation are low, with near 0% probability over the next 48 hours and a 30% likelihood within the next seven days.

However, conditions could change, and in a worst-case scenario, a tropical depression or storm might form by Thursday or Friday, moving over Northern Nicaragua or Honduras before weakening as its remnants pass over Belize late Friday into Saturday, potentially bringing moderate to heavy rainfall.

The public is advised to remain calm, as forecasts may evolve. Given that we are still in the peak of hurricane season, it is essential to stay informed by monitoring official alerts from the NMSB and NEMO regarding any weather threats that may impact the country. Advisories, watches, and warnings will be communicated through the organisations’ websites, social media platforms, and national television and radio stations. Residents are urged to refrain from listening to or spreading rumours and misinformation from unofficial sources.

The NMSB collaborates with the National Hurricane Centre for regional forecasts and works alongside the Caribbean Meteorological Organization. It is important to note that only the Prime Minister, upon the advice of the Chief Meteorologist and the National Emergency Coordinator, has the authority to issue a hurricane or tropical storm watch or warning for Belize. Meanwhile, the National Emergency Operations Centre and all District Emergency Operations Centres are remaining vigilant and prepared as they continue to monitor potential threats.

For emergencies, NEMO’s hotline is 936.