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Jan 4, 2012

Poll asks which party do you prefer to solve issues

Greg Strimple

But as all things go in Belize, politics eventually becomes the main course in any meal and so it is in the poll. Questions were raised about nationalization and whether you prefer P.U.P. or U.D.P. management on various topics. According to the poll, at the time he stepped down as Party Leader, Johnny Briceno was actually more popular than Dean Barrow. The poll said that Briceno had a forty-four point two percent favorability level while Barrow only had thirty-two point four percent. So if you believe its accuracy, Briceno stepped down when he could have been the next prime minister. But the pollster said that on many issues, there were at least thirty percent of the country who remained undecided, or as swing voters in the next elections.

Greg Strimple, American Pollster

“If you were asked today to vote for a political party to form Belize’s next government, who will you vote for? The U.D.P. or the P.U.P.? So I would call this a generic ballot. Twenty-seven percent said U.D.P.; thirty-three percent said the P.U.P. So the P.U.P. has a slight five point six lead kinda heading into the year, but thirty percent were undecided. And again that thirty-percent has the characteristics of a group that is clearly not wed to a party and is looking for whoever can best represent change reform and issues they care about most. Which political party do you believe is best described by the following? Will create jobs and grow the economy? Overall the P.U.P. has a fourteen, fifteen point lead on this—forty-two percent P.U.P.; twenty-six point nine percent U.D.P. but then when you look at the highlighted areas where folks are most concerned about the economy, jobs or whether they think the economy is getting better or worse, you can see where there is a real change between whether people think the economy is better; they think that the U.D.P. is better off on jobs and growing economy and whether you think it is worse they think that the P.U.P. better represents them on that. So that’s going to be a key issue heading into the year. Then crack down on crime. This one was interesting to me because there is such a big issue and it looks to me that neither parties define themselves on this issue; where either party can come out and stake a position to do things and grab a lot of voters attention. So thirty-one percent of the folks said P.U.P. was better on cracking down on crime and twenty-two and a half said the U.D.P. but then when you go and look at the people that were most interested in crime, it was basically one to one. So again I believe this is an issue where both parties can present plans to the voters and really get some reaction and traction with them as they move forward.”

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6 Responses for “Poll asks which party do you prefer to solve issues”

  1. Earl Grey says:

    There are Scientific Polls and UNSCIENTIFIC POLLS………THIS IS Unscientific.

    There is no mention of MARGIN OF ERROR…usually 5% or less.

    University of Belize Math Department could do better!!!

  2. home grown says:

    Spouting off again Earl. Read the article again about error margin.
    As for scientific, again you are probably wrong, but could be correct. I would have to read the actual study before making that conclusion. The Independent has it because they paid for it; they should have a more in depth article.

  3. CEO says:

    All these results are ran through statistics formulas and this was the outcome so yest it is scientific. EarlyGrey spoke before really trying to understand what was said.

    Both parties need to pay attention to what is happening in the country and try to fix what is bad. One thing I must say they did not need this study to know what most people care about!

  4. Storm says:

    If there’s 30% who don’t follow the red or the blue, then that’s 30% to form a new party.

    Hopefully, a party that will straighten out the corrupt mess that the Jewel has become, and do it ruthlessly. We need a real country of laws, where we are all equal — equal opportunies for everyone, no special favours, and equal punishment, nobody too “high and mighty” to go to prison if they break the law.

    We can learn from other countries, where minority parties can make a real difference, because they hold the balance of power between the major parties. A new party that wins 5 or 6 seats in the assembly can have a lot of power, and use that power to grow.

  5. Earl Grey says:

    I DID NOT SSE nor HEAR OF A MARGIN OF ERROR…. maybe it’s hidden.

    How was this poll conducted… via phone calls?? from a blind list?? Did it cross socio-economic lines??? What about regions???


    THE MATHEMATICS DEPARTMENT OF THE UNIVERSITY OF BELIZE CAN DO A BETTER JOB…they should set up a polling class as part of their Statistical Studies.

  6. spanglish says:


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