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Aug 11, 2020

More Positive Cases Expected Out of Active Clusters!

Marvin Manzanero

On the upside, only one person remains hospitalized and that patient is in Orange Walk.  But as the Central Lab processes more samples tonight, it is anticipated that there will be more positive cases.  We asked DHS Manzanero about those clusters in San Pedro.  He gave us a sobering update on the outlook for COVID-19 cases based on the results and surveillance over the last few days.

 

Dr. Marvin Manzanero, Director of Health Services

“We had anticipated from Sunday, that the next three days after Sunday, which would be yesterday, today and samples processed tomorrow going into Thursday will give you a clearer picture of how many potential cases you have out there and that gives you a ball park figure once you start to plug in the data whether you have data or not. We reviewed the data with PAHO yesterday and it is still considered sporadic transmission with clusters appearing in select communities. It hasn’t gone beyond that.   We have tools where we push the information that comes out. That curve looks fairly steep. We doubled the cases in one week. I don’t think we are going to double the cases, this batch, in one week. We can continue to expect to find cases, of course. At the end of the day you want to always avoid overwhelming the health system in terms of hospitalized patients. As of midday today, we only have one person hospitalized and that person was in Orange Walk.   We can anticipate more people coming out of the church service situation. Again, most of that cluster would be contained to a certain extent because they are on the island. Patient number fifty-seven still potentially providing more cases to come up again contained. The fear in terms of spreading beyond that would still be primarily the people the people who have left the construction sites; going specific to northern communities and any residual from the activities in San Pedro in the latter part of July. So, the last two weeks of July anybody who coincided at the events where people who were positive were, I think that is what we are going to see. At my presentation at N.O.C. yesterday, I did say we anticipate that up to Friday we will have a good amount of symptomatic popping up and that is what we are picking up this week.”


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