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Nov 2, 2015

English Magazine Says U.D.P. Will Win Third Term

Eamon Courtenay

The Intelligence Unit of the Economist, an English magazine published in London, produces a number of reports each year focusing on current issues affecting specific countries, regions and industries.  The publication recently circulated an article in which the outcome of Belize’s general elections is being forecasted.  According to the editorial, the United Democratic Party be re-elected for a historic third term of office by winning comfortably a majority of the seats in the legislature.  That prediction, nonetheless, is purely conjecture since it is not rooted in fact or data derived from any scientific polling.  In fact, the publication is known to have been wrong about elections in many countries. According to Eamon Courtenay, polls being conducted by the People’s United Party indicate that there is a shift in the mindset of the electorate, citing Caribbean Shores as a particular example.


Eamon Courtenay

“When one looks at that article one has to take it with a grain of salt, or perhaps a lump of salt.  First of all, it was not based on a poll.  When you read it you will see that they were simply making certain, in their words, assumptions and I don’t think that anyone is going to give much credibility to an article that seeks to predict the outcome of a general election on the basis of an assumption.  As you can imagine, both political parties have been doing polling and the polling has increased right up until this weekend and I’m sure it will continue.  I don’t think anybody is going to contradict, anybody is going to seriously contradict that what the polls are saying that this race is a lot closer than the government expected it to be.  Our internal polls are showing that the momentum is certainly on our side.  We have confirmation of that in a number of ways, we can see that the U.D.P. are moving some of their operatives out of certain divisions into divisions which they thought they had locked down and have had to send in reinforcements.  We have seen evidence of the U.D.P. in effect saying that certain of their candidates will stand and fall on their own.  They’re not going to put any additional resources there because there are certain other seats that they have to hold.  The flipside of that is that we had seen, we are seeing and we continue to see areas, let me give you a specific example, Caribbean Shores, which everybody was saying Darrell will win that easy.  The polls are indicating that that seat is in play that Kareem is seriously on the move and that that is going to be decided on Election Day.  In other words, it is no longer a situation where, “Oh, Darrell has been reelected mayor, he has done so much road without drains et cetera, et cetera.  He’s going to win” That seat the polls are indicating that it is likely that whoever is better organized on the day is going to win.  There are others, I’ll give you another example, Dangriga is one where the people had felt “Oh, Papa Mena has just been elected, therefore he has the edge with him.”  The numbers are showing that our candidate there Sabal is absolutely in a race, it’s neck and neck and again it is going to be organization on the day.”

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4 Responses for “English Magazine Says U.D.P. Will Win Third Term”

  1. Ricky Malthus says:

    The word of the Economist is not direct from GOD. If the UDP should win, and I hope they don’t, then this will reflect the stupidity of Belizeans and their collective will to suffer under a repressive UDP regime.

    Again UDP winning will reflect that after centuries of slavery, Belizeans prefer repression, injustice, poverty, no development and essentially to live as beggars without dignity and self-worth in their own country where all foreigners and are successful over them.

  2. carlos says:

    My people tomorrow think before you vote: think about the future of your children, of your country, of your community. Don’t sell your vote. If any one is paying you to vote for them, take the money and vote for whom you think is the best honest candidate and political party. Those that pay you are those that want to see you stay poor for all your life and want to see you be begging them for money. VOTE FOR THOSE WHO WANT TO IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF YOUR LIFE AND YOUR FAMILY.

  3. Money Man says:

    The PUP are hopeful and are taking the Economist’s report with a lump of salt because they really want to believe that most Belizeans are really fed up with the UDP but at the same time they want to believe that most Belizeans are also forgetful. If only the PUP had a stronger leader with no ties to the past PUP administration. I think that is their biggest weakness and everybody who is not a blind follower of the PUP recognizes this. This is not the kind of weakness you want to have if you are serious about winning a general elections. I think if the PUP looses this election they seriously need to find someone else to lead their party. But who? That is the 10 million dollar question.

    With that said I think we give the Belize Progressive Party a chance. Patrick Rogers for PM.

  4. Belizean Pride says:

    I totally agree @carlos but then look at both parties none of them keep their promises. Both have drains the Belizean people to the max and still people believe in them. As for me i’ve abstained from politic voting. it doesn’t make sense any more to me. Either stay I’ll have to pay for what both of them have done and will keep doing. Let the people don’t vote and you’ll see that it will call their attention as to why people are not voting any more.
    A debate from both leaders should have been done to bring out facilely what they plan to do and then after the winner emerges from election to recall him as to every thing he promised. If he fails then the people should send him out for failing the country.

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