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Jan 16, 2012

Poll says politicos are neck to neck

The results of another election poll were released today and it shows that the two main political parties are neck to neck if general elections are called. Two weeks ago Glenn Tillett of the Independent, teamed up with American Pollster, Greg Strimple, and released the findings of a poll which showed that at least thirty percent of the electorate is undecided about which party they will vote for in the next election. Well, those numbers are eerily close to the results of the new poll. Karim Berges, Former National Campaign Manager for the United Democratic Party along with statistician, Yasmine Andrews, who did a stint at the High Commission in London, surveyed two hundred and twenty-three electors. The survey of twelve questions was conducted via phone with voters randomly selected from the six districts. At a press briefing today, the team released their findings to the media, and like Strimple’s poll, a chunk of the electorate remains undecided.

Yasmine Andrews, Technical Expert

Yasmine Andrews

“The two major questions of course, one of the major questions is ‘which party will you vote for in the next general elections, regardless of when it is called? And the results show, U.D.P. thirty-two point seven percent saying  that they would vote for the U.D.P., where as for the P.U.P. thirty percent that’s a difference of only two point seven percent, so we can interpret that that’s its very significantly close.”

Jules Vasquez, 7News

“Is that within the margin of error?”

Yasmine Andrews

“Yes, sir that’s within the margin of error of confidence integer plus or minus so we could add five to it or subtract five, whichever way. If you look at the undecided it’s thirty-two point seven percent, that’s people who have not decided not to vote for P.U.P., U.D.P., V.I.P. or any other selected party. That thirty point seven percent can go either ways but we are recording just responses of what we got. Now this is, ‘who do you think?” very different from the first question, “who do you think will win the next general election? Based on perception, not individual but perception right? Again, consistency says U.D.P. forty-two point six percent and then P.U.P. forty point four percent, significant difference of only two percent, that means that within the margin of error, the five percent again, the five percent could go positively or it can go negatively, so that is consistent with the first question. Another factor here satisfaction level, “are you satisfied with the current government’s performance level?” fifty-six point one percent said no, they are not satisfied with the current government. Forty-three percent said yes, this consistent with the first two questions that we ask, where we said will you vote P.U.P. or U.D.P. and the difference was only two percent margin plus or minus five so the results are very consistent. How would you rate the current government with the previous? From the responses that we got, we have the categories of “same, worse, better, do not know” The majority said better twenty-nine point six percent again very miniscule, worse twenty-two point four percent the same twenty-two point nine percent we are comparing present government with the previous, and again if you look at the category of do not know, it’s consistent with undecided, it’s huge twenty-five point one percent.”

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6 Responses for “Poll says politicos are neck to neck”

  1. Storm says:

    No PUP nor UDP. They’ve both devastated the Jewel for decades, with never a good government.

    Throw them all out, and try some new party.

  2. Earl Grey says:

    Is it any SURPRISE that they are undecided??? LOOK AT THE CHOICES… NOT MUCH TO CHOSE FROM.

  3. D Real Belizean says:

    Nice question Polls: wish d Real Belizean people should win.

  4. belizeanpride says:

    i believe that we the Belizean people are tired of the atrocities these two parties have done to the jewel of ours and have left the Belizeans undecided with no more options to vote none of them.

  5. Initiate! says:

    You just the realize that we are undecided because we are not satisfied with either party ???? Hah, ok and then what next…. ? Belize has never been satisfied with either party,,,,what is next? Next please, next… yes what is NEXT ? A third party that is still inferior…NO….NO !! Next, what is next…what is after that? what is the answer after that ?? Come on Belize, what is beyond that ?

  6. Initiate! says:

    For all those wishing for a better party……..and don’t know what the answer is…..

    THE ANSWER IS “YOU”, yes YOU is what we need to work on NEXT, not a political party but “you”!

    THIS IS THE ULTIMATE ANSWER.

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