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Oct 11, 2018

Thunderstorm in Northern and Central Belize

There was thunderstorm activity on Wednesday night over central and northern Belize, while other parts of the country experienced winds of about thirty miles per hour and heavy rainfall. The system, according to the National Meteorological Service, developed as a result of Hurricane Michael that hit southern Florida earlier.  Today, we spoke with forecaster Angelia Guy about the thunderstorm and expectations for the next few days.

 

Angelia Guy

Angelia Guy, Meteorologist, Belize National Met Service

“It started from early in the evening over north western Belize and moved over the rest of the country in those areas. What we saw is – the environment was unstable and the moisture was brought up from the Eastern Pacific with what we call the ITCZ – the inter-tropical convergence zone. Because Hurricane Michael has thirty hit the southern United States – Michael’s extent is very far reaching so it pulled up the moisture from the ITCZ over the area. So, that moisture came over us yesterday afternoon – evening and it was also very warm with the easterly airflow we were having yesterday, so that was very warm. So, we had the warming, the moisture, the unstable environment, so all of those are very good conditions for thunder storm development.  The winds – it was mostly gusts from the down drafts from the thunderstorms. I can tell you from here at the airport we had gusts up to about thirty knot winds. And the estimation from the imagery, some places in the north received up to about two inches [rainfall] and possibly more. We are expecting an increase in precipitation on Friday and Saturday afternoon mostly with the daytime heating especially. But the thunderstorm shouldn’t be as strong as they were yesterday. The models aren’t indicating that strength at this time.”

 

The Met says that there is no immediate threat to Belize in the wider Atlantic. They are, however, monitoring a trough over the south-central Caribbean, an area around where Hurricane Michael started to take for. But there is only a fifty percent chance of development over the next five days.

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