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Aug 18, 2017

Harvey Coming; Belizeans get ready

Going into the weekend, the National Emergency Management Organization, NEMO, has issued its first advisory in respect of Tropical Storm Harvey which continues a westward path in the direction of Belize.  TS Harvey is presently one thousand, seven hundred miles away from the country and is moving at a speed of twenty-one miles per hour, with sustained winds of forty miles per hour.  Should the weather system remain on course, it is expected to make landfall within three to four days.  NEMO advises that residents along the coast should relocate to higher grounds by Monday evening, should Harvey continue in its path. Today we visited the Belize Weather Bureau where forecaster Michael Gentle explained the movement of TS Harvey.  The weatherman also told us what we can expect from the tropical storm once it enters the Gulf of Honduras.

 

Michael Gentle

Michael Gentle, Forecaster, National Meteorological Service

“Tropical Storm Harvey continues moving in a western track at about eighteen miles per hour and it has entered the Eastern Caribbean.  It passed through the Windward Islands overnight and this morning.  This track is expected to continue during the next few days and it is expected over the northwest Caribbean late during Monday and into Tuesday.  It is expected over the Gulf of Honduras, still as a tropical storm.”

 

Isani Cayetano

“If it continues its trajectory towards Belize, what would we expect in terms of wind speeds and rainfall.”

 

Michael Gentle

“It is expected to be a strong tropical storm over the Gulf of Honduras.  I think it is expected to be about seventy miles per hour; however, with the position over the Gulf of Honduras, the tropical storm force winds, strong tropical force winds are likely to affect the country, with the center moving just to the south of the main municipalities.  This is due to the forward motion and also, most of the strongest activity is to the right of motion.  So it would be to the north of where the center makes landfall.”

 

Isani Cayetano

“When do we expect this weather system to make landfall in Belize?”

 

Michael Gentle

“Okay, on the current forecast track and projection, it should be over the Gulf of Honduras during Tuesday.  So landfall over our area should be Tuesday into Tuesday night.  Crossing across the country. As is usual we need to continue monitoring the progress of this system.  It’s still four to five days out and we need to take into consideration that the longer the forecast there is more uncertainty at the end of the forecast period and the position and the strength of it could vary from time to time, however, presently they maintain it as a tropical storm.”

 

So keep tuned to NEMO advisories and the weather forecasts for updates.

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