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Oct 24, 2014

Weekend Looks to Be Cold and Wet

We are a little over thirty days away from the end of the Hurricane Season for 2014, but this time of the year is when the Caribbean is most active and favorable for the development of storms. Earlier this week, tropical depression number nine formed over the south western Bay of Campeche and for the past two days, the northern and central part of Belize have been experiencing inclement weather. Several areas in the city are under water and the river banks are flooded and murky from the recent downpour. The remnants of tropical depression number nine passed over Belize on Thursday night. But will the heavy rains persist over the weekend? At a press briefing today at the National Meteorological Service, Chief Met Officer Dennis Gonguez told the media that they are monitoring the system because typically this time of the year systems develop at the tail end of cold fronts.

 

Dennis Gonguez, Chief Meteorologist

Dennis Gonguez

“During the course of last night and this morning, the remains of Tropical depression number nine crossed Belize and hence the inclement weather conditions that we had yesterday and earlier this morning. The remains continue moving eastwards, however, there is a cold front that is entering the Yucatan peninsula tonight and will eventually crossing Belize before dawn tomorrow. Cold air from this cold front will wrap around the remnants of tropical depression number nine and that will impede its redevelopment for a couple of days. And subsequent to that, the cold front will lie on Sunday evening, the cold front will be near to the northeastern Honduras and the remnants of tropical depression number nine will also be at the tail end of the cold front near northeastern Honduras. The more tricky part comes on Monday when the cold air breaks up over us and whatever is out there starts moving westward towards us on Monday. We are not sure what it will be. Presently all the intensification modules are forecasting that it will not regenerate…tropical depression nine will not redevelop at this time. However, we still have to be cautious that something will happen at the tail end of the cold fronts because typically this time of the year that is the scenario that occurs; that we get systems developing at the tail end of cold fronts.  On Monday, we start Monday afternoon, with a more easterly flow. And as a consequence, whatever that is over northeastern Honduras will start to head towards us. So we are looking at some changes come on Monday again…possibly just rain, another major rainfall scenario. And as I said, the modules are not intensifying the remains of tropical depression nine; they are not developing it into anything, however, we still have to keep an eye out for it over the weekend.”

 

More on the forecast is coming up later in the weather report.  

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